Kamis, 29 Maret 2012

Blog's Profile

Welcome to this blog!!!


This blog comprises informations and summaries of international economical, historical, and political issues which come from many sources including my books, international news from internet, TV broadcast, and many other. I hope my blog will give you good informations. If the contents are not relevant or controversial, I expect you can give me some critics and better solution for it.






I will be very happy if you leave some comments and open discussion.
Enjoy this blog!!!
Thank you for reading!!!
»»  READMORE...

Selasa, 27 Maret 2012

National debt vs. Budget Deficit


As a common people, when I read economic news, I get a number of difficult words. My lecturers in my majority, Accounting, are very rare talking about international economic. They are more interest in corruption issues, the biggest issue in my country. So, maybe I’ll write some articles containing definition of some economic terms to assist me understanding world’s economic issues, and I hope it will give advantage for you too, my beloved reader. Ok, as you read the title, I intend to distinguish Budget deficit and National Debt.

The Federal Budget Deficit is the federal spending that exceeds tax collection in a single year. The simple example to describe it is, in 2012 the federal revenue is approximately $2.2 trillion, and spending approximately $ 3.1 trillion, leaving a budget deficit of approximately $ 0.9 trillion. To cover it strap, the government needs to borrow $ 0.9 trillion to meet its entire projected obligation in that year.

Meanwhile, the National Debt has different definition; it is the cumulative running total of the federal government’s outstanding debt since the inception of the nation. The simple illustration is, in 2012 the federal revenue and tax collection is approximately $2.2 trillion, and expenditure approximately $ 3.1 trillion, leaving a budget deficit of approximately $ 0.9 trillion. This shortfall usually coped by borrowing from public through selling government bonds or the other debt instruments. The total of the $ 0.9 trillion that government must borrow, adding by all of previous year debt is called National Debt.

In conclusion, Federal Budget Deficit is the debt for the year but National Debt is the total debt since the establishment of the country.













http://thenationaldebtcrisis.com
»»  READMORE...

Conflicts in the Strait of Hormuz


Too late maybe talking about Hormuz, but I think learning about this strait will bring us in a never ending conflict.  Situated between the gulf of Oman in the southeast and Persian Gulf, this strategic strait is very important in international oil transportation lines. Roughly, about 20% world’s oil passes the strait. No wonder if military clashes frequently occur in this area.

On 18 April 1988, naval forces attack from US to Iranian water in retaliation to Iranian mining in Iraq-Iran war caused American warship damaged. This is dubbed as Operation Praying Mantis.



On  3 July 1988, United States Navy guided missile cruiser USS Vincennes (CG-49) shot down a civilian jet airliner an Airbus A300B2-203 operated by Iran Air, on the Bandar Abbas-Dubai route. The strike toward the end of Iraq-Iran war resulted in dead all passengers and crew abroad. There were 290 killing including 66 children and 38 foreigners.

On 10 January 2007, collision between American nuclear-powered submarine, USS Newport News and Japanese oil tanker Mogamigawa happened in the strait. No injuries and oil leak.

The never ending disputed between  Iran and America pursued in 2007-2008, where five Iran’s boats patrol surrounding three US navy warship  the cruiser USS Port Royal, the destroyer USS Hopper and the frigate USSIngraham.

On 29 June 2008, the US-Iran contention still continued. Iran threaten, it would seal off the Hormuz Strait if Israel and US attacked Iran, thereby global oil prices skyrocketing, the statement came from the commander of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard, Ali Muhammad Jafari. In contrary response, the commander of US 5th Fled stationed in Bahrain, Vice Admiral Kevin Cosgrave stated, such action will be trigger war, and US would halt the hostage of world’s oil supply.

In July 2008, US-UK-France and Brazilian frigate held joint military drill in the eastern US coast, Atlantic to exercise blockading Iran’s coast in the Strait of Hormuz.

The recent tension between Iran and western countries is due to the allegation of Iran nuclear weapons development. IAEA claimed that Iran in advance of developing warhead assisted by Soviet scientists. As the result UN imposed sanction to the Iranian economy. United State will give sanction to the Iranian company which backs the Iran nuclear activity, EU agreed of banning Iran oil importation, also trade in gold, precious metals, diamonds and petrochemical products from Iran. EU is also freezing Iran’s central bank assets in Europe.

Israel pushed US to attack Iran, but US still offering Iran to open dialogue. Iran’s president, Ahmadinejad denied the accusation of developing nuclear weapons, all Iran nuclear activity for piece purpose. Iran not allowed the IAEA observer to investigate important nuclear location in Parchin, south of the Iranian capital, Tehran. In response of UN sanctions Iran will stop all the oil importation to EU countries as retaliation, and again, it will close the Strait of Hormuz. Iran also tested fires long range missiles in naval exercise in January 2012 in the strait.

Now, the effect of the tensions in the Hormuz Strait has been perceived by countries in the world including my country, Indonesia. Yes, actually the prediction oil price in my country will rise, mass demonstration held in some of town in country to deter the government policy in deciding cut off the oil subsidies.

In the end, I hope the both Us-ally and Iran will understand that oil price is one of sensitive issue in the world, don’t be egoism.




»»  READMORE...

Kamis, 15 Maret 2012

EURO : SINGLE CURRENCY PROS AND CONS



Euro is single currency applied by 17 members of European countries comprising by Austria, Belgium, Cyprus, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, LuxembourgMalta, the Netherlands, Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia, and Spain. They join together in euro area called euro zone.

Monetary policy handled by European Central Bank (ECB) purposed for keeping inflation under control. Fiscal policy remains in the hand of each country. Though, they implement the non binding agreement known as Stability and Growth pact.

In the initial establishment, euro constructed for offering good economic and political sense, travel easier, stable currency with low inflation and interest rate, encourage sounds of public finance. It’s also elevating price transparency, omitting currency exchange cost, facilitating international trade and positioning EU gain more voice in international stage through the openness trade with the world.

This currency has international financial scope for :
a.      International debt market
The third countries and also private corporations can issue bond (known as sovereign bonds if issued by foreign currency, or corporate bonds, issued by corporations) and regain payment with fixed interest future date.
b.      International loan and deposit market
c.        Foreign exchange rate
d.      International trade
e.       Reserves and anchor

The above statements are truly going not smoothly, after years survive from its first creation signed by Maastricht Treaty at 1992, now, bound to fail. Euro is not similar with single currency used by United States, dollars. There are some reasons of the dollars stability stance, allowing all of the U.S states operate this – labour mobility, wage flexibility, and central fiscal authority, none of this exist in Europe.

When some industries in north-eastern states closed, then the workers can move to the west, but, it can't be done in the quite different countries in Europe because of discrepancy of language, history, union membership and so on.

The euro zone governments have to oblige the stability pact and sometimes some of them are not prevalent to practise the criteria’s. One case that can describe this condition – When demand in Germany and France was quite weak early in the last decade, the ECB reduced interest rates sharply. That helped Germany and France but it also inflated real estate bubble in Spain and Ireland.
The other barriers are the different cycle of each countries and difference stage in their cycle, where each country facing different problems.

Using single currency can also cause the loss of national sovereignty because of cooperation between high performance of economic in some countries and the other weak economic countries performance.

Introducing new single currency also needs great cost for educating costumers, changing labels, training staff, changing computer software, and adjusting tills
»»  READMORE...